What will the President do with Afghanistan? To answer that, look at Obama’s past stance on the war, where he’s at now, and given his decision-making proclivities, what he might do in the near future…
Well, what’s the background? I think we all know that one through and through. The “POTUS to be” campaigned on the anti-Bush rhetoric that Iraq was a mistake, and Afghanistan was the real fight. It became his mantra and there are no doubt hundreds of clips and quotes to act as proof.
And where is Barack now relative to the war in Afghanistan? Quite simply, he is caught between a rock and a hard place. On the one hand, he’s haunted by all the campaign-speak, and on the other he’s facing a deteriorating battle condition, and a growing outcry from his very own Left to get the Hell out. It certainly hasn’t helped matters that commanding General Stanley McChrystal is looking for as many as another 45,000 troops for that conflict.
Finally, what will the President ultimately do with the Afghanistan War? Obviously, no one (probably not even Obama himself) knows for sure. But here’s my guess based on what we’ve all seen in the past… He will probably find a way to tuck tail and at the same time claim that he is indeed fighting the good fight and will continue to do so. I’m guessing that he’ll take George Will’s advice, and turn to technology, special forces, and intel…
America should do only what can be done from offshore, using intelligence, drones, cruise missiles, airstrikes and small, potent Special Forces units, concentrating on the porous 1,500-mile border with Pakistan, a nation that actually matters.
But why will he take this route? Because if Obama is anything, he is shrewd (and by concomitant political necessity, a shrewd wordsmith). Damn the truth, and damn the proper, Obama is just a Chicago politician with an agenda to “fundamentally transform” America… Full blur ahead! He is after all, “Community Organizer in Chief“. Somehow, I don’t think a war 6,500+ miles away rates as the brightest blip on his radar. So, he’ll find the expedient way out of Afghanistan – the crafty public relations way to have his cake and eat it too.
Just as he could explain away Reverend Wright, and morph “create a million jobs” into “create or save a million jobs“, Obama will find/explain a way to make Afghanistan a political win. He’ll bail. He’ll spin it as cost-cutting and soldier-saving. He’ll claim it’s more humane, more efficient, cheaper, and the next logical step into 21st century warfare. Let technology, intelligence, and elite units perform the miracles… And we’ll buy it. And the whole damned mess will quietly rot on the vine as our economy scoops and finally breaks under inflation and unsustainable debt.
That’s how I think President Obama is going to handle Afghanistan.